Market Expression
Which equities should benefit if this thesis is correct — tracked over time as an accountability mechanism.
Not investment advice. We track these equities to see how they confirm or challenge our thesis, not to make investment recommendations. Do your own research.
Reference Index
iShares TIPS Bond ETF(TIP)
Tracks inflation-protected treasuries — the canonical direct inflation hedge benchmark
12m
+0.1%Since inception
-0.1%Updated Feb 19, 2026
| Stock | Rationale | 12m | Since Add |
|---|---|---|---|
NEM1st Order Newmont Corporation | +159.7% | -0.3% | |
DVN1st Order Devon Energy | +19.4% | +0.0% | |
FCX1st Order Freeport-McMoRan | +65.3% | -0.4% | |
COST2nd Order Costco | +4.4% | -3.0% | |
DE2nd Order Deere & Company | +41.0% | +9.8% | |
BRK-B2nd Order Berkshire Hathaway | -6.7% | -0.1% | |
AMT3rd Order American Tower | -15.1% | -3.8% | |
PSA3rd Order Public Storage | -0.3% | -0.6% |
12m
+159.7%Since add
-0.3%Newmont Corporation
World's largest gold miner. Gold is the canonical monetary debasement hedge — if governments run persistent deficits and negative real rates, gold mining margins expand structurally.
12m
+19.4%Since add
+0.0%Devon Energy
US energy producer benefiting from higher energy costs driven by reshoring demand and energy transition capex. Variable dividend model returns cash to shareholders as commodity prices rise.
12m
+65.3%Since add
-0.4%Freeport-McMoRan
Copper is essential for energy transition and reshoring buildout. Structural supply deficit meets rising demand from electrification, grid expansion, and factory construction.
12m
+4.4%Since add
-3.0%Costco
Membership model with extraordinary pricing power. Benefits from consumer trade-down in inflationary environment while passing through costs. Membership renewal rate >90% provides recurring revenue floor.
12m
+41.0%Since add
+9.8%Deere & Company
Agricultural equipment monopoly with pricing power. Food inflation drives farm profitability which drives equipment demand. Precision agriculture and autonomy technology create additional margin expansion.
12m
-6.7%Since add
-0.1%Berkshire Hathaway
Diversified real asset portfolio with pricing power across insurance, utilities, railroads, and manufacturing. Buffett's $200B+ cash pile benefits from higher rates. The ultimate inflation-resilient conglomerate.
12m
-15.1%Since add
-3.8%American Tower
Cell tower REIT with contractual 3% annual rent escalators built into long-term leases. Real asset (towers) with inflation-linked income. Benefits from 5G buildout and data demand regardless of macro.
12m
-0.3%Since add
-0.6%Public Storage
Self-storage REIT with short-duration leases that reprice to market monthly. Fastest inflation pass-through of any real estate sector. Low capex, high free cash flow, recession-resilient demand.
Prices updated on market close. Returns since addition date.