Opinion analysis with tracked predictions and deep dives
The model that said "leverage" now watches a war without a defined end state. The only mission with a clear endpoint is nuclear material seizure. Everything else is open-ended.
The U.S. has assembled more air power in the Middle East than at any point since 2003. It's leverage, not a war plan.
Two carrier strike groups in the Middle East reveal a negotiation pattern, not a war plan.
How Takaichi's landslide locked America into the China fight — and why Beijing's pressure campaign backfired
Thesis momentum across demographics, financial repression, inflation, and reshoring
Stalin and Mao showed us the pattern. We just can't see inside to know where it ends.
Mark Carney's Davos speech gave middle powers the rhetoric they wanted. It won't give them the autonomy they need.
My AI rejected this thesis. Twice. Here's why it's wrong.